Archive for May, 2015

To Contact Me

Sunday, May 31st, 2015

June 1, 2015

I’ve blocked comments on ” Word Press ” because of too many comments are unrelated .  If you want to comment, or question, please feel free to contact me directly at rmg81836@gmail.com.  I still have a lot to learn and I would welcome your ideas!

Richard Maurice Gore

Rx for Stock Market Anxiety

Wednesday, May 27th, 2015

May 27,2015

Just know this…..and relax.

The earnings yield of the US stock Market is presently 4.88%   ( as represented by the S&P 500 Index,  whose basket of  500 equities  trade as the  symbol  ” SPY “, ( $103.09 / $2,110.93 )….  while the earning yield of the 10 year Treasury Bond is 2.18%.  Which would you rather have ….a guaranteed fix rate of return for 10 years of 2.18% ( not accounting for inflation )  or the variable dividend growth  and unlimited  growth in value of America’s 500 largest companies. ??!!

And, it seems as though foreign money has resumed its flow toward the USA.  Where does this money go on arrival ?  To purchase bonds which will make the bond market even less competitive with stocks ?,… into fine art ? ,…… how about expensive real estate ?  Any money invested in the stock market will  just be further fuel for the market.  Of course we need to be wary of extremes because there are plenty of USA stocks which can be hurt by a dollar mania.  The trick is to know where to be in the market.  I believe SPY will continue its flatter  upward trend hiding all the pushing and pulling going on inside among its 500 names based on strong dollar / low oil.

Respecting ” Play till May “, I’m still on alert looking for any news which can be sold to the market as a genuine  “Black Swan “.  The difference this time ( for me ) is not having market anxiety. I believe, when the dust settles , anything the market does will have benefited me.  Here is how I’m set up.

a ) One third in cash a)  looking for a proper entry point.

b) One third in marriage equities ( buy and hold and buy more on dips ). These equities have some sort of sustainable competitive advantage, growing revenue, growing net profit, growing free cash flow and a beneficent attitude toward shareholders  as evidenced by, dividends, buy backs, and debt ( if any )  pay down.  In this market adding additional funds requires an earnings profile not threatened by a strong dollar. And finally a chart flight profile indicating a smooth flight at a higher altitude than SPY.  ( Beating SPY is the  challenge for  every analyst )  At present, for me, these equities include AAPL, GILD, ANTM and BX.

c)  One third invested in the possibility that equity prices will temporarily head lower giving me a proper entry point by having equities assigned to me via PUTS.  I want to be forced to purchase these equities in return for a premium paid to me by the successful PUT purchaser.

Examples:

GILD – June $107 assignment price. At a premium  to me from the purchaser of $ 1.31  = 14.69% per annum premium for my patience.

AAPL – June $130 at $1.74 premium to me = 16.06% per annum for my patience.

SPY – July $200 at $1.53 premium to me = 9.18% per annum for my patience.

This means I hope to own these equities, but not at present prices, and I want to get paid for not being the  “impulser”. which, truly,I am!

Richard Maurice Gore

 

Disclaimer: I do not offer or sell advice, accept deposits, commissions or fees or make any offer to ” run ” your money or act on your behalf.  I am unlicensed.  What I do, entirely at your risk, is allow you to peek over my shoulder to see how I go about attempting to earn a living using my own liquid financial assets.  These posts are for me to follow how my thoughts are evolving into strategies that win for me.  I still have a lot to learn !

RMG

 

 

 

An Endorsement For Bernie

Monday, May 18th, 2015

May 18. 2015

After watching the PBS film ” Park Avenue – Money Power and the American Dream”….and doing a lot of soul searching, I’ve decided to stand next to Senator Bernie Sanders, Democrat Vermont, and declare myself a Democratic- Socialist.  I’ve decided not to accept tarnished Democratic merchandise or any of the Republicans who beat their breasts espousing American middle class values but accept billionaire money with the other hand…in exchange for further rigging the game against you and me..

I firmly believe  anyone who is concerned about the rapid disappearance of the American middle class should view  ” Park Avenue “.  Its available on Netflix. Its a shocker,  and I promise you won’t be disappointed.

“Park Avenue”  focuses on one building, 740 Park Avenue , which houses more billionaires than any building in the United States. There  are only 31 apartments, the largest of which has 37 rooms and 20,000 square feet. Some of the billionaires who reside there include David Koch, the richest resident of New York City, Steven Schwarzman, formerly of  Lehman Brothers, now of The Blackstone Group (he has the largest apartment) Ezra Merkin, known as one of Bernie Madoffs ” feeders “, and  John Thain  who presided over the handoff of Merill Lynch to Bank of America  while rewarding the failure of his executives with large bonuses which came from you and me via low interest government bail out loans.

Park Avenue’s supporting cast includes Wall Street’s Senator, Charles Schumer, non-resident of the building ,  who poses as a Democrat liberal while feverishly protecting federal tax provisions which make certain Steven Schwarzman and his billionaire associates are taxed at a lower rate than the firemen who climbed the  stairs of the World Trade Center…….,  

…..Representative  Paul Ryan, Republican, Wisconsin who is said to  take more money from David Koch than any member of Congress, ostensibly to foster the American middle class dream by espousing the rugged individual ideals of Ayn Rand,  ” Atlas Shrugged ” , but in reality, does the the bidding  of  David Koch who finances  his ambitions.  And lets not forget Governor Scott Walker, Republican, Wisconsin who humorously falls for a phone scam where the caller pretends to be David Koch and inveigles Walker into a discussion of tactics to be used to destroy the collective bargaining rights of Wisconsin Unions.

The central theme of ” Park Avenue ” is to unmask how the right wing of the  billionaire class  ( no,  not Warren Buffett, not Bill Gates ) has used its money to get Congress to rig the rules in their favor and tilt  the playing field against middle class Americans… not to mention the disadvantaged!

Today 400 families control more wealth than the 150 million American taxpayers who  account for  the bottom half of our national income structure.

In 1965 CEO pay was roughly 21 times that of the hourly worker.  Today that multiple has expanded to 231 times the pay of the average hourly worker.

In 1980 getting an education was 5oo times less expensive than it is today.

The chasm between the super rich and middle income / wage earning America has widened into the Grand Canyon.

How did this happen ?  Look no further than ” trickle down ” economics.  Remember when Newt Gingrich  claimed that by giving the wealthy Americans huge tax breaks including reducing the capital gains rate,  the tax windfall of the rich would trickle down to the middle class and beyond ?   There was a trickle alright, but its direction turned out NOT to be in the direction of  middle income America….it flowed  in an other direction, toward  Congress.  That the super rich wanted something in return for the trickle was proven by an exponential expansion of lobbyist activity and more money given to support the re-election efforts of compliant congressmen.  What did the billionaires want.  As Steven  Schwarzman characterized his visit from Mitt Romney….. What I wanted from him  is for me to know.  Lets just say he listened and I am not shy !

The billionaires want less government interference, except for when their interests collide with regulations  enacted for the common good such as anti pollution measures. They want exemptions for any activity that will further enrich them, even  at the expense of what is good for America.  Since they don’t really need more money they spend their ” trickle ” by doubling down on their  investments in members of Congress.

Isn’t it ironic that on the same weekend you have a derailment on the AMTRAK northeast railroad corridor owing to government money not available to fund infrastructure improvement…..Then,  just  a day later,  you have a logjam of helicopters circling above the Hamptons  waiting to land !!  Gatsby would have really appreciated this scene.

How was it that  the government was able to help the big five ” too big to fail ” financial institutions who were actually gambling with shareholder money, but  had no money to help with the sunami of foreclosures which hit hardworking everyday people  who had  lost their jobs .  Bank  lobbyists actually wrote the legislative amendment  that will allow the big five to resume gambling with the middle class absorbing all the risk.  Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren are in the forefront of those in Congress still attempting to block this Wall Street inspired tampering.

Do you actually suppose  Wall Street would allow Congress to exempt IRA withdrawals from current penalties,  if such withdrawals were used to pay off student loans or be used as a down payment on a non-financial asset such as a house ?  Not a chance!

The billionaires espouse traditional middle class values and cite the Tea Party as a spontaneous middle class  expression of the desire to return to American values. According to ” Park Avenue” there was nothing spontaneous about the Tea Party movement.   Its a planned ploy to point the resentment of the middle class downward instead of upward  at the billionaire class.

What is especially frightening about ” trickle down ” is that it has financed the ultra rich takeover of Congress and funded the efforts of compliant congressman to remain in office.  Now, how do we effect REFORM if  Congress refuses to act in  the common good and also refuses to go home ?.   Our founding fathers didn’t want Congress to be a career.  Today congressmen are the government equivalent of CEOs who hijack corporations by surrounding themselves with a compliant manager class and board members to do their personal bidding.  When you are dealing with this type of entrenched situation your  vote is worth the same as your proxy….nothing !  You can sell your shares or leave the USA. …or both….take it or leave it……. Nice!…

Personally, I don’t know how to separate the tentacles of the Wall Street / Corporate billionaire class from our government. As a layman, I see this as a growing cancer and bordering on in-operable.   

I look at Bernie Sanders and wonder whether he has Reagan genes. As a socialist, he doesn’t want much….just free medicine for everyone to replace our broken system, as in Sweden,  and a free technical or liberal college education for everyone so that the USA can compete in an ever competitive world without our kids going broke choking on loans.. .  He wants to abolish corporate and fat cat political contributions and limit lobbyist activity. Unlike traditional socialists, he doesn’t espouse nationalizing  the railroads, the newspapers , private property, or private business.  He is transparent. He does not accept political action group contributions only contributions from individuals.  His candidacy deserves to be investigated by anyone concerned enough to want REFORM. I believe he is absolutely clean and is his own man.  I believe he is a patriot and, as a New Yorker ,  I congratulate Vermont on its choice for the Senate.

I’d rather waste my vote on him as a protest for REFORM than be swept  along with all the organized money wrapped in red, white  and blue but earmarked for hidden agendas

Richard Maurice Gore