It may not seem important to financial markets at the moment but something is going on in Afganistan which in the not too distant future should illuminate a potentially dangerous, large and loose stone in our wall of worry.
On January 20, 2012 the New York Times led with a front page story describing the deep seated animosity and distrust which exists between the American forces and the Afgan soldiers they are training to defend the country against the Taliban.
The Times states this situation has resulted in an increasing number of American deaths and casts a harsh light on our 10 year ( yes, 10 year ) attempt to build an independendent Afgan army that will defend efforts to develop the institutions of a modern nation.
Does anyone actually believe our lofty goals are achievable or will last for any length of time after we depart ?
Or, is it more realistic to think that the result will be similar to our covert training of Afgans to bring down Russian helicopters? … with all the training turned on us.
How many more American lives are to be invested in this objective ?
Upon what realities and assumptions is this objective based ?
How much of it is driven by the need of our defence industry for sustainable armament outlets ?
How much is based on the belief the world is a community made up of political entities called nations ?
Truth be told, the only real nation we are facing in the middle east is Islamic Fundamentalism, an aggressive revolutionary movement which is just as dangerous as the Bolchevik, Facist and Nazi movents of the 2oth century. It is driven by extreme and intolerant religious beliefs , not politics . Submit ….or else! And. right now lets draw a distinction between the Moslem religion and these zealots who take the peace loving Moslem religion and twist it into a War of the Worlds type jihad against infidels with no quarter asked or given
When I had my business I used to import precision instruments from Elmar Messerschmitt of Munich. You may recognise the name as the same as that of his uncle, the developer of the Messerschmitt 109 fighter plane. Once on a joint trip to Nashville during the early eighties I asked him whether he thought East and West Germany would ever be reunited. His answer was “My dear Dick, if it was the intention to keep Germany permanently divided it would NOT have been east and west, it would have been north and south. Why ? Because the south is Catholic and the north is Protestant and more separations, wars and hatred have arisen from this type of distinction than from a line drawn on a map separating east from west “.
Which brings us back to Moslem Fundamentalism. Forget about Tunesia, Algeria, Morocco, Egypt, Saudi Arabia etc. These nations are seen by Fundamentalists as imposed entities obstructing the ultimate reality, one Moslem Fundamentalist Nation. And, you can be certain the Fundamentalists believe in the inevitability of this as surely as 19th century Americans belived in Manifest Destiny.
I believe our well meaning investment in the dream of a friendly Afganistan nation is a total waste of American resources, the most valuable of which is the blood of our boys. Its a mirage ! And what about the poppies ???!! Is that how tentative our situation is ? We can’t disturb that criminal situation ?! Give me a break ! Lets get out now and allow sand to fill our footprints sooner rather than American graves later. Our time would be far better spent in designing plans to frustrate the hopes and wishes of Moslem Fundamentalists to have us all riding donkeys.
Lets design ways to frustrate the Fundamentalist goal of attacking the world’s political and economic institutions. including its financial and communications infrastructure.
We know who the bad guys are …Pakistan and Iran. All the rest, including the Saudi royal family are considered dominos to fall sooner or later with Pakistan and Iran developing their doomsday arsenals as guarantors of any progress made.
Egypt and Libya are all smiles on facebook at the moment. Just wait. All that can change in a hurry. The Moslem Brotherhood is working hard behind the scenes toward what they see as inevitable. And when that happens Egyptian and Libyan smiles will be at a premium ! Even more ridiculous, if we help the Syrian uprising we will be fighting shoulder to shoulder with Al Quaeda !
If the Moslem Fundamentalist are not checked , checked hard, at some point soon, we may not need to worry about catching the next market updraft because there won’t be a viable market infrastructure , never mind the updraft.
Richard Gore aka Rich, Richie, RMG, Dick and Smiley from Woodlawn